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live from Reddit & Kalshi — put them on trial

Live Rifts

24 open
crypto● liveX
ETH's market cap ($233B) is dwarfed by BTC ($1.33T). Does ETH ever flip back into relevance this cycle?
RELEVANT
COOKED
45%55%
8.1k27.9kpredict →
tech● liveKalshi
AI stocks are soaking up every dollar leaving crypto. Does the AI rally survive the summer?
SURVIVES
POPS
58%42%
10.4k36.5kpredict →
news● liveReddit
NOAA declared a monster El Niño — maybe the biggest since 1950. Overblown or are we underprepared?
OVERBLOWN
UNDERPREPARED
34%66%
The Ref: A 63% shot at a top-tier El Niño is a real forecast, not a vibe.
8.6k33.4kpredict →
politics● liveReddit
The US and Iran signed the Islamabad Memorandum to end the war. Real peace or a 60-day timeout?
REAL PEACE
TIMEOUT
38%62%
19.8k71.0kpredict →
economy● liveX
Money's rotating out of crypto and into AI stocks. Is the AI trade a bubble?
BUBBLE
REAL
49%51%
11.1k38.2kpredict →
sports● liveReddit
USA opened the home World Cup with a 4-1 rout of Paraguay. Real contender or hometown hype?
CONTENDER
HYPE
41%59%
18.0k55.3kpredict →
culture● liveX
This celebrity feud blowing up — real beef or PR stunt?
REAL
PR STUNT
38%62%
14.0k58.9kpredict →
sports● liveX
2-2, 78'. Who takes the 3 points?
HOME
DRAW
AWAY
54%22%24%
12.4k48.2kpredict →
crypto● liveKalshi
Will Bitcoin close the month above $90k?
YES
NO
58%42%
11.2k34.6kpredict →
tech● liveX
Will the next frontier AI model launch before July?
YES
NO
43%57%
10.4k39.0kpredict →
news● liveX
This 'leaked' celebrity statement blowing up — real or AI?
REAL
AI
CAP
32%48%20%
The Ref: Voice has the flat AI cadence; metadata stripped.
18.9k73.5kpredict →
sportsReddit
Mirra Andreeva, 19, won her first major. New era of women's tennis or flash in the pan?
NEW ERA
FLASH
64%36%
7.0k24.1kpredict →
cultureX
Death of a Salesman swept the Tonys with 6 wins. Deserved, or did nostalgia win again?
DESERVED
NOSTALGIA
56%44%
9.2k29.7kpredict →
sportsX
Knicks ended a 53-year title drought (4-1 over the Spurs). Dynasty or one-and-done?
DYNASTY
ONE-OFF
44%56%
21.4k62.1kpredict →
politicsReddit
Will the new bill pass the Senate by Friday?
PASS
FAIL
47%53%
15.1k61.4kpredict →
economyKalshi
Does the Fed cut rates this month?
CUT
HOLD
38%62%
9.8k28.1kpredict →
gamingReddit
Will this year's GOTY go to the indie or the AAA blockbuster?
INDIE
AAA
52%48%
8.3k31.2kpredict →
sportsReddit
Will the underdog cover the spread tonight?
COVERS
NO
44%56%
6.2k19.7kpredict →
cryptoX
Does ETH flip $5k before it flips $3k again?
$5K FIRST
$3K FIRST
46%54%
5.9k21.3kpredict →
techReddit
This humanoid robot demo — real autonomy or teleoperated?
REAL
STAGED
36%64%
7.1k27.8kpredict →
newsReddit
The '$2T defense leak' everyone's posting — document or psyop?
REAL
CAP
39%61%
The Ref: Formatting matches no known agency template.
12.3k44.1kpredict →
newsresolvedX
A clip of the Sagrada Família's new tower 'cracking' is going viral — real or AI?
REAL
AI
CAP
14%67%19%
🏁 Reality voted: AI
22.3k81.9k🏁
cryptoresolvedKalshi
Bitcoin ripped past $71k on ETF inflows. Does the rally hold through June?
HOLDS
DUMP
47%53%
🏁 Reality voted: DUMP
16.9k44.6k🏁
sportsresolvedX
Germany hung 7 on Curaçao. Tournament favorites or flat-track bullies?
FAVORITE
FLAT-TRACK
51%49%
🏁 Reality voted: FLAT-TRACK
12.7k47.8k🏁
Be right. Loudly. · riftter.com