Does the Fed cut rates this month?
Set your conviction — it's your Rep on the line
Core CPI cooled but jobs ran hot. Kalshi prices ~35% odds of a cut. The 'they MUST cut' crowd is talking their bags.
Top arguments
Whoever's certain here hasn't read a single dot plot.
Whoever's certain here hasn't read a single dot plot.
Hot money rotating crypto → AI leaves the way it came. Enjoy the rally, set your stops.
Cut is coming — the data's soft enough and they're behind the curve.
Inflation's stickier than the headline. No move this month.
Markets already priced this in. The reaction is the trade, not the decision.
They hold. Powell won't blink before the next jobs print.
Inflation's stickier than the headline. No move this month.
Bubble talk is lazy. The capex is showing up in actual revenue this time. Froth ≠ fraud.
They hold. Powell won't blink before the next jobs print. Cope accordingly.
Hot take incoming, but the consensus here is just lazy. Fade the crowd.
Bubble talk is lazy. The capex is showing up in actual revenue this time. Froth ≠ fraud.
Saving this so I can quote-dunk on half of you when it resolves.
Whoever's certain here hasn't read a single dot plot.